What happened to Ernesto?

MIAMI -- The fizzling of Tropical Storm Ernesto was a perfectexample of what forecasters constantly tell residents of hurricane-prone states: Scientists are far better at predicting where a stormwill go than determining how powerful it will be.

"It's like having a jigsaw puzzle with a million pieces," said MaxMayfield, director of the National Hurricane Center. "Some have nocolors. Some pieces are missing. It's hard."

Ernesto hit Cuba on Sunday as a Category 1 hurricane, andforecasters predicted it would …